Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 313.301740 356.061365 404.011570 462.050730 530.776607 610.025846 708.995802
2025-01-19 238.414746 290.548383 354.389145 439.353789 551.044621 695.120406 898.804935
2025-01-26 213.066834 272.516224 349.962462 460.380245 617.363443 838.319588 1183.777748
2025-02-02 197.800727 263.148432 352.733268 488.102846 694.091019 1007.513952 1545.442042
2025-02-09 178.617743 244.956775 339.588154 489.345640 730.160857 1121.161702 1848.347238
2025-02-16 159.945734 224.771283 320.270023 477.258752 741.656295 1195.499119 2101.409309
2025-02-23 145.295999 208.637084 304.661083 468.021434 755.062583 1274.039864 2382.573888
2025-03-02 137.426969 201.775249 302.269739 479.513059 805.367533 1428.787017 2865.134964
2025-03-09 128.223645 191.796923 293.596524 478.744505 832.721160 1544.542924 3300.860498
2025-03-16 118.459219 179.961307 280.532159 468.270509 839.464587 1619.077740 3664.070586
2025-03-23 111.835927 172.640873 274.258742 469.196026 868.601999 1747.690437 4214.618914
2025-03-30 104.289907 163.124019 263.230473 459.682709 874.464407 1824.738169 4653.824758
2025-04-06 98.356983 156.074931 256.240766 457.826770 898.027198 1953.633523 5320.399205
2025-04-13 90.068121 144.351867 239.858218 435.486801 872.970394 1956.943694 5593.023327
2025-04-20 88.376284 144.072421 244.398800 456.278797 950.300873 2247.801530 7020.399797
2025-04-27 87.530205 145.202341 251.638395 483.693938 1049.174441 2630.829989 9080.619538
2025-05-04 83.666820 140.483515 247.130488 484.922835 1082.940934 2834.016196 10550.391643
2025-05-11 78.705727 133.363329 237.278161 472.970676 1080.246616 2923.096045 11563.200495
2025-05-18 74.455017 127.303425 229.062148 463.835782 1083.690389 3034.512267 12791.922309
2025-05-25 72.566183 125.621608 229.584195 475.199916 1146.298461 3371.076722 15606.664538
2025-06-01 69.660401 121.763981 225.272592 474.439911 1174.133256 3593.638578 18000.530003
2025-06-08 66.108726 116.415302 217.413302 464.082102 1171.693642 3701.456251 19766.296557
2025-06-15 63.783211 113.357890 214.201292 464.997377 1204.090626 3961.452359 23016.520845